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Italy · Serie A · Sun 1 Nov · 17:00
14th · 9 pts · -9 GD
VS
Kick-off
13th · 10 pts · -5 GD
30%
Lecce
30%
Draw
40%
Genoa
Bookmakers say
29% / 31% / 40%
Where we differ most
H 0%
Safest read
Draw or away win (X2) · we say 70%
Our safest read is Draw or away win (X2) at 70%; the bookmakers say 71%. The value angle is A:0.25 at 1.96: we say 55%.
Both teams to score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce | 1360 | 0.65 | 1.27 |
| Genoa | 1371 | 0.90 | 1.27 |
Genoa rated 11 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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