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Spain · Segunda Division · Sun 1 Nov · 17:30
7th · 20 pts · +4 GD
VS
Kick-off
1st · 29 pts · +19 GD
27%
Burgos
27%
Draw
46%
Castellon
Bookmakers say
27% / 27% / 47%
Where we differ most
H 1%
Safest read
Home or away win (12) · we say 73%
Our safest read is Home or away win (12) at 73%; the bookmakers say 73%. The value angle is H:0.25 at 1.98: we say 51%.
Both teams to score
40%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
| Team | Elo | Att | Def |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | 1507 | 0.87 | 0.74 |
| Castellon | 1567 | 1.26 | 0.93 |
Castellon rated 60 Elo ahead. Attack and defence are goals per game the model expects against an average side.
Correct score heatmap, Asian handicap and the AI pre-match write-up
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